Microsoft/Yahoo Will Take Google’s Eye Off The Ball – Twitter & Facebook Can Pounce

I’ve long professed that search and social are going to merge and that those big Google dollars will be up for play.  An interesting wrinkle has occurred with Bing and now the Microsoft & Yahoo deal.  It’s anyone’s guess on how this will play out.  But, one thing is certain, it now has Google’s attention.  This is good for Twitter and Facebook as it takes Google’s attention away from Social Media; which I would argue is still Google’s greatest threat.  People want to be pushed products and services just like we are pushed the news.  We no longer search for the news, rather the news finds us.  Why shouldn’t products and services that our social graph has vetted be pushed our way?

microsoft-bing

Or why wouldn’t I search on Facebook to figure out what my friends purchased and their ratings of the products?  Yes, Facebook and Twitter are happy to see Google have to turn their attention to the resurgent Microsoft.

I thought the below post from my Search Engine Watch column from 1.5 years ago when Microsoft and Yahoo first started dating would be of interest to some:

March 6, 2008 SEW Article:  Has Yahoo Lost It’s Yodel?

It seems like only yesterday that Yahoo was the darling of the Web.

The Yahoo Way or the Highway?

The irony of this proposed relationship is palpable. In the early years, Yahoo cautiously and adroitly avoided confrontation with Microsoft. But one thing was clear in Sunnyvale: there was a Yahoo way of doing things, and often that way was the exact opposite of how Microsoft conducted business.

That is why this particular partnership is peculiar. It would be difficult to watch an iconoclastic brand like Yahoo slowly dissolve into nothing — just like many of us lamented the Cingular brand being absorbed by AT&T. Losing such a spirited brand as Yahoo would be a sad day.

We often joked when I was at Yahoo (less than 2,000 employees at the time) that you could slap the Yahoo logo on an old shoe and people would clamor for it. Yes, the brand was that powerful (credit Karen Edwards, John Costello, Murray Gaylord, et al.).

Have we heard the last of Yahooooooo!? Funny enough, a few years back, we all recall when Yahoo accidentally let lapse the royalty contract for this famous Yahoo yodel sound bite. What originally cost them $30 cost them millions in royalty fees to renew. At stake now is much more than dollars. At stake is one of the “brand souls” of the original Internet boom. Is it worth it?

Vulcan Mind Meld

The task of melding the culture of 14,000 Yahoo employees and 80,000 Microsoft employees would be daunting. It could take at least one to two years to properly get things aligned. And, while resources and energy are being spent on merging rather than innovating, Google will neither have the stiff competition nor incentive to evolve search results. As I pointed out in part two of my column, “Why Search Is Still Prehistoric,” Google sorely needs innovation. Is MSN buying Yahoo analogous to the second- and third-place runners in a sprint tying their legs together in a hope to catch the leader?

Instead, Google can focus more attention on other things, like its mobile strategy, which is becoming exceedingly important. Many non-U.S. citizens only access the Internet via their mobile device. They’ll be the most likely to connect with a Google Android.

The U.S., once a laggard in this realm, is rapidly catching up. Case in point: I’m typing this on my mobile device in the Toronto airport.

Google Morphs into Microsoft

It’s astounding to think Google has almost morphed into the next Microsoft. How else could one explain Facebook and Yahoo aligning with Microsoft? It’s a classic NIMBY strategy to keep Google at bay. Google is a much better fit for both Yahoo and Facebook culturally and demographically (Mountain View is in the back yard of Palo Alto and Sunnyvale).

Speaking of Facebook, wouldn’t Microsoft be better served to focus its efforts on cultivating this relatively new relationship? Even though Facebook has only 400 employees, they add 250,000 new users each day. That’s an astounding growth rate considering that they already have 64 million users. Of those 64 million, 50 percent visit Facebook every day.

Assuming Facebook is the next big thing, why wouldn’t Microsoft leap ahead with them rather than play catch-up with Yahoo? Or should they purchase a smaller player like Bebo? In South America, they didn’t invest in building landlines where they hadn’t previously been laid; rather, they went straight to building cellular towers. Hence, countries that were lagging behind suddenly jumped to the technological forefront. (It doesn’t always pay to be the first mover).

The Next Frontier

The same argument could be made here. Does it make sense for Microsoft to build up an arsenal with weapons that would potentially be less relevant (e-mail, portals, search, etc.) if the next battleground is social networking, mobility, and beyond?

One thing Yahoo and Microsoft could do in the short term is leverage Internet Explorer’s virtual ubiquity (90 percent browser penetration). Federal regulators and the EU willing, they could combine their impressive marketing power to inform the general Internet population there’s no need to go to a search engine to perform searches.

Instead users could type in their search query directly into the IE browser’s URL address field. (I realize toolbars perform this function, but many of the “Internet unenlightened” — think mom and dad — are unaware toolbars even exist.)

MSN/Y! would take you directly to the most relevant page with a list of other search results below (in case the page they took you to wasn’t relevant). This would save the users two steps:

  1. Typing in http://www.google.com
  2. Clicking on one of the results.

Of course this assumes MSN/Y! search results are fairly relevant. That’s the $40 billion dollar question isn’t it?

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9 responses to “Microsoft/Yahoo Will Take Google’s Eye Off The Ball – Twitter & Facebook Can Pounce

  1. Great blog, reading it through RSS feed as well

  2. @equalman – agree with your view on finding what friends have purchased and do that.

    My response was in terms of the wording “that we like to be pushed”, that I may have misinterpreted

    @Oscar agree with you absolutely. My issue is that more and more I’m getting things shoved at me (spam) via Twitter that I’ve never given permission to, same happening via FB and Skype.

    This causes unnecessary “noise” that’s getting in the way of real conversations I may want to have.

    • Andrew:

      Thanks – seems like we are on the same page. Good callout to be careful of using the word “push” as it has negative associations. Have a great weekend.

  3. @Andrew, I doubt it. I think more and more of this “mail/spam” as you call it is actually an issue with permissions.
    See Seth Godin’s view on “permission” vs “spam”.

    You are most likely getting that “stuff” because you chose to get it. In twitter, *you* follow somebody, *you* ask for updates. Case in point, this website has a “notify me of follow up comments” option. I chose to get these updates.

    With the same choice, comes the power to turn it off. Some people want that stuff some people don’t and they don’t have to get it. I think this is where these new channels will succeed. If you want it, come and get it, and participate. If you don’t then… don’t.

  4. “People want to be pushed products and services just like we are pushed the news.”

    Sounds like junk mail/spam to me.

    I’m sick of interruption advertising and emails “demanding” I respond immediately and I’m getting sick of the same via Twitter.

    Could this be the demise of this app?

    • Andrew:

      Thanks for the comments. Products and services finding us is great. What I discuss in the book is that in the near future if you have to buy a baby seat and you are a first time buyer…a bit daunting having to search, research, check through opaque reviews and ratings. What will happen is you will be given the following insight (think search within Facebook): 40 of your friends have purchased a baby seat in the last 2 years. 20 purchased the same make and model and here are all of their reviews (95% positive). What a time and stress saver! The consumer wins and the brand delivering the best value wins. This will help element the noise you hate (junk mail/spam). That is why it’s a REVOLUTION! Welcome to the world of Socialnomics!

      Thanks again for the interest/support! Have a great weekend.

  5. Wow, your insights and commentary is totally real and futuristic. Hug of ya to share as you do. Thanks and thanks. :- )

  6. I agree on with this. ” Losing such a spirited brand as Yahoo would be a sad day.” It seems possible I guess, but hard to imagine. As you say, we can’t say how this will play out but it will be very interesting to watch.

    I like the insights you provide in this article.

    I think Google is definitely working on social media, Wave, I think, is incredibly promising. They already have more than a foot in, They have Youtube, (video isn’t going away), Orkut, Reader, All of these team up to a huge userbase and loyal return customers.

    Just as Gmail became prevalent and as popular as it is now, “Wave” could be huge, it could redefine many conventions we have today in regards to communication systems. Its possibilities are endless.

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